In my recent analysis of YouTube’s information density I included the results from an advanced statistical analysis on the number of videos present on the home page, which projected that around May 2026 there would only be one lonely video on the home screen.

a comedic graph showing two points between 2017 and 2025 and a trend line showing that it will be 1 video in may and 0 in september

Amazingly, a disgruntled Googler leaked a recording of how YouTube’s PM org handled the criticism as it sat at the top of Hacker News for a whole day for some reason.

The net result is that after months of hard work by Gemini YouTube engineers, the other day I fired up YouTube on an Apple TV and was graced with this:

there is only one ad and one video visible

Let’s analyze this picture and count the number of videos on the home screen:

same image as before but comedically labelled with a big red one

Unfortunately the YouTube PM org’s myopia is accelerating: with this data I now project that there will be zero videos on the homescreen around May of 2026 now, up from September.

new datapoint added and a new trendline

Apparently Poe’s Law applies to Google PMs, satire is dead, and maybe our mandatory NeuraLinks are coming sooner than I thought.